By Dick Kazarian, Managing Director, Borrower Analytics Group This article takes a closer look at the credit risk of FHA purchase loans within our CORE™ Residential Model Suite. We cover the following topics: • Core Model Framework • The Importance of a Competing Risk Framework • Segmentations within the Government-insured sector • … Read more »
Perspectives
Market Overview
By Dick Kazarian, Managing Director, Borrower Analytics Group Each issue of our Quarterly Perspectives consists of articles that cover topics of interest to mortgage market participants. This article reviews the following topics: • Mortgage Rates and Spreads • Update on the PMMS Survey • Prepayment changes from our MIMs Survey • … Read more »
MIAC Perspectives – Fall 2022
In this issue… Market Overview Dick Kazarian, Managing Director, Borrower Analytics Group This Market Overview provides an overview of rates, prepayments, credit, housing markets, and other topics of broad interest to mortgage market participants. Topics include: Mortgage Rates and Spreads, Prepayment changes from our MIMs Survey, and an update on the PMMS Survey. Read more… CORE… Read more »
Whole Loan Market Update – Q3 2022
By Nicholas Dorn, SVP, Whole Loan Sales, Trading The overarching themes in the whole loan market are much higher rates, wider spreads, inflation, stagnating or declining home prices, and declines in existing home sales. We provide an overview and analysis of these data in the Market Overview article in this issue of MIAC Perspectives. Scratch… Read more »
Lock Tracker
By Dick Kazarian, Managing Director, Borrower Analytics Group In this issue of MIAC Perspectives, we introduce our Lock Tracker™. We introduce this Lock Tracker to help market participants follow origination trends considering the unprecedented market volatility in rates and volume that we have experienced since the start of 2022. Our data consists of applications processed… Read more »
MIAC Perspectives – Spring 2022
In this issue… Market Overview Dick Kazarian, Managing Director, Borrower Analytics Group This Market Overview provides an overview of rates, prepayments, credit, housing markets, policy updates, and other topics of broad interest to mortgage market participants. Topics include: Mortgage Rates and Spreads, Prepayment changes from our MIMs Survey, Extension Risk Concerns. Read more… CORE Insights: A… Read more »
Lifetime Mortgage in Vision™
By Dr. Darrel Welch, Managing Director, MIAC Analytics Ltd. Introduction Lifetime mortgage (LTM) is one of the latest asset classes to be implemented in Vision™, MIAC’s advanced ALM system. UK’s lifetime mortgage sector saw a borrowing boom in 2021, with annual lending growth year-on-year from £3.86 to £4.8 billion (24%). So far in 2022, this… Read more »
MSR Market Update – Q1 2022
By Mike Carnes, Managing Director, MSR Valuations Group MSR Pricing MSR prices continued their dramatic ascent in Q1 2022. As displayed in Figure 1, MIAC Generic Servicing Assets (GSAs™) experienced first quarter price increases across all four sectors and both vintages, with a UPB-weighted Q-on-Q increase of 0.97 multiple (or 24.9%). Within Conventional products, pricing… Read more »
CORE Insights: A Deep Dive into our Agency Credit Model and the Impact of COVID-19
By Dick Kazarian, Managing Director, Borrower Analytics Group This article takes a closer look at some key features of our updated Agency Credit Model within our CORE™ Model Suite. Also highlighted are unique behaviors that occurred during the COVID period. Framework Figure 1 shows the transition model framework used by the latest version of our… Read more »
Market Overview
By Dick Kazarian, Managing Director, Borrower Analytics Group Each issue of our Quarterly Perspectives consists of several articles covering different topics of interest to mortgage market participants. This article reviews 1) Mortgage Rates and Spreads, 2) Prepayment Changes from our MIMs Survey, and 3) Extension Risk Concerns. 30-Year Mortgage Rates and Spreads Figure 1 displays… Read more »